| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 61% | 0 | Yes 61¢ No 39¢ |
| Republican Party | 40% | ▲ 1 | Yes 40¢ No 60¢ |
Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) on Sunday slammed President Trump’s deal with Russia for diesel amid the energy struggles the U.S. is experiencing. “The president needs to move forward with the sanctions bill that we sent him. This agreement with pursing Russian oil is essentially, I think, tarnishing [Sen.] Lindsey Graham's [(R-S.C.)] efforts to try and...
The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
Democratic lawmakers pushed back Friday on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian oil amid global fuel shortages during U.S. military operations against Iran and the Russia-Ukraine war. The deal will permit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s government to supply 300,000 tons of diesel to the U.S. and the global marketplace. “I have just concluded...
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
Democratic surge predicted to hit Republican states hardest, scra
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DDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
Open on XOverall, Democrats are very slight favorites to win the Senate, but the chamber is close to a coin-flip. See DDHQ's Senate forecast here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026/senate
Open on X2 months ago, Republicans were favored to keep the Senate. Now the DDHQ Forecast gives Democrats a 56% chance of winning a majority. The path to a majority mainly runs through 6 core battlegrounds: GOP-held seats in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio & Texas, plus DEM-held Michigan.
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE (10/5): Democrats are favored to flip both the House and the Senate. 🟦 House: 76% chance · favored in 235 seats 🟦 Senate: 56% chance · favored in 51 seats 🟦Dem control: 53% 🟥GOP control: 23% 🟪Split control: 24%
Open on XIn the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.
Open on XThe Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up five to 15 seats, resulting in Democrats holding 220 to 230 seats in 2027.
Open on XIf the Democratic Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.