α
✦
Ken Paxton 38%James Talarico 63%Los Angeles D 46%Milwaukee 25%Republican Party 39%Democratic Party 62%Cleveland 10%Tampa Bay 21%
🏠 Home📝 Analysis📊 Markets🏆 Forecaster Leaderboard⭐ Alpha Picks💬 Community👁 My Watchlist🚀 Space🏦 Fed & Economy🏛 US Senate⚾ MLBAdmin
US Senate · CONTROLS · Resolves Feb 1, 2027

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Showing: Democratic Party · Resolves Feb 1, 2027
Democratic Party · 62% chance▲ 1Updated just now
Feeds 14m ago · AI summary 1h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
67%57%47%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$6.3M
24h volume$65.6K
Open interest$3.2M
Days left113
Bid / ask61¢ / 62¢
Last62¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Democratic Party62%▲ 1Yes 62¢ No 38¢
Republican Party39%▼ 1Yes 39¢ No 61¢

Why it moved AI

  • @DecisionDeskHQ: DDHQ Senate forecast update gives Democrats 56% chance to flip majority, up from Republican favor two months ago.
  • The Hill: North Carolina shifting Democratic; lawmakers push back on Trump over Russian oil.
  • PhillyBurbs: Latest polls and forecasts for 2026 midterms.
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago