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Tech & AI · KXALIENS · Resolves Jan 20, 2029

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Showing: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Resolves Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 20, 2029 · 22% chance0Updated 1 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 5h ago

Forecast

28%22%16%
Jul 19Oct 7Oct 13

Stats

Volume$774.7K
24h volume$845
Open interest$321.5K
Days left831
Bid / ask21¢ / 22¢
Last22¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Before Jan 20, 202922%0Yes 22¢ No 78¢
Before Jan 1, 202814%▲ 2Yes 14¢ No 86¢
Before Jan 1, 20275%▲ 1Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Before September50%▲ 49Yes 50¢ No 50¢
Before Nov 1, 20261%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

AI Predictions

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Why it moved AI

  • Covers.com and OddsShopper publish articles on alien confirmation prediction markets including Kalshi's 2029 ladder.
  • tech-insider.org and CryptoSlate cover Manifold trading on earlier 2027 timelines with no 2029-specific updates.
  • Zero X posts and no product or evaluation news tied to the market.
Generated from news and X posts below · 5h ago

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.