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Fed & Economy · KXCPICOREYOY · Resolves Oct 21, 2026

Who will be above 2.3% for the year ending in September 2026?

Showing: Above 2.3% · Resolves Oct 21, 2026
Above 2.3% · 86% chance▲ 3Updated just now
Feeds 45m ago · AI summary 2h ago

Forecast

95%81%66%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$14.8K
24h volume$1.1K
Open interest$5.3K
Days left3
Bid / ask85¢ / 87¢
Last86¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 2.1%98%0Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 2.2%97%▼ 1Yes 97¢ No 3¢
Above 2.3%86%▲ 3Yes 86¢ No 14¢
Above 2.4%47%▼ 6Yes 47¢ No 53¢
Above 2.5%13%▲ 1Yes 13¢ No 87¢
Above 3.4%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.0%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.3%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.1%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.7%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.2%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.5%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.9%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.8%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.6%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • NY Fed SCE: median 1y inflation expectations rose to 3.9% (+0.3), highest since May 2023 (CNBC, @doubledragonhq)
  • Fed minutes: most participants assessed another increase in the federal funds target range ( @NickTimiraos)
  • Fed survey shows one-year inflation outlook at highest level since May 2023 (CNBC Economy)
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago