α
✦
Fed & Economy · KXCPICOREYOY · Resolves Oct 21, 2026

Who will be above 2.7% for the year ending in September 2026?

Showing: Above 2.7% · Resolves Oct 21, 2026
Above 2.7% · 1% chance0Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 4m ago · AI summary 2h ago

Forecast

18%9%0%Sep 12Oct 8Oct 11

Stats

Volume$49.8K
24h volume$1.3K
Open interest$8.1K
Days left3
Bid / ask0¢ / 2¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 2.1%98%▼ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 2.2%97%▼ 1Yes 97¢ No 3¢
Above 2.3%87%▲ 4Yes 87¢ No 13¢
Above 2.4%47%▼ 6Yes 47¢ No 53¢
Above 2.5%13%▲ 1Yes 13¢ No 87¢
Above 3.4%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.0%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.3%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.1%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.7%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.2%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.5%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.9%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.8%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.6%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Fed minutes: most participants assessed another federal funds rate increase likely needed. (@NickTimiraos)
  • Waller: anticipates additional hikes to return inflation to 2% goal. (@NickTimiraos)
  • NY Fed survey: household inflation expectations rose at short- and medium-term horizons. (@NewYorkFed)
  • Logan: Fed likely needs at least another 50 bps in rate hikes. (@NickTimiraos)
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago