Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
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Action Net
Last week, The Cook Political Report moved three Senate races, all towards Democrats. Read about those changes from @JessicaTaylor: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XDDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
Open on XThe DDHQ Forecast still gives Marshall about a 2 in 3 chance of reelection. Why Kansas is on the board, plus the generic ballot and control of Congress: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/polls-senate-kansas-marshall-hamilton-2026-midterms-house-forecast-congress
Open on XTrump won Kansas by 16 points in 2024. Democrats haven't won a Senate race there since 1932. But Democrat Adam Hamilton runs a hair ahead of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in DDHQ's new Kansas polling average. #KSSen
Open on XDDHQ POLLING AVERAGE UPDATE Our polling average for Maine's gubernatorial race is live! Democrat Hannah Pingree leads Republican Bobby Charles by nearly a 12-point margin. The DDHQ Forecast rates this as Likely Democratic.
Open on XThe Senate overall is broadly a toss-up, although things have been trending toward Democrats. You can find the South Carolina forecast on DDHQ's VOTES portal here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-11-03/south-carolina-us-senate-general-election/forecast
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Democrats now have just above a 1 in 2 chance of winning both the House and the Senate — but are far clearer favorites in the House. @ChrisCillizza walked through it with @geoffreyvs & Maddisen Murrell ⬇️
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Nebraska Senate Our Nebraska Senate polling average is live! Republican Pete Ricketts currently leads independent Dan Osborn by 0.9 points. The DDHQ Forecast gives Ricketts an 80% chance of winning.
Open on XIf the Democratic Party has above 52 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).