Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), the Senate Majority Whip, on Sunday expressed concern about the recent reporting on U.S. Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle and her finances. “Well, what we've seen in the reports is very troubling. It's concerning. And I'm sure there's going to be an investigation. I would assume the State Department would be...
A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...
Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
Action Net
Last week, The Cook Political Report moved three Senate races, all towards Democrats. Read about those changes from @JessicaTaylor: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XDDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
Open on XThe DDHQ Forecast still gives Marshall about a 2 in 3 chance of reelection. Why Kansas is on the board, plus the generic ballot and control of Congress: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/polls-senate-kansas-marshall-hamilton-2026-midterms-house-forecast-congress
Open on XTrump won Kansas by 16 points in 2024. Democrats haven't won a Senate race there since 1932. But Democrat Adam Hamilton runs a hair ahead of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in DDHQ's new Kansas polling average. #KSSen
Open on XDDHQ POLLING AVERAGE UPDATE Our polling average for Maine's gubernatorial race is live! Democrat Hannah Pingree leads Republican Bobby Charles by nearly a 12-point margin. The DDHQ Forecast rates this as Likely Democratic.
Open on XThe Senate overall is broadly a toss-up, although things have been trending toward Democrats. You can find the South Carolina forecast on DDHQ's VOTES portal here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-11-03/south-carolina-us-senate-general-election/forecast
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Democrats now have just above a 1 in 2 chance of winning both the House and the Senate — but are far clearer favorites in the House. @ChrisCillizza walked through it with @geoffreyvs & Maddisen Murrell ⬇️
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Nebraska Senate Our Nebraska Senate polling average is live! Republican Pete Ricketts currently leads independent Dan Osborn by 0.9 points. The DDHQ Forecast gives Ricketts an 80% chance of winning.
Open on XIn the current national environment, assuming that's D+8.5 nationally, Democrats would have a 46% chance of taking the Senate if results are as correlated with presidential results as they were in 2020-24. They'd have a 56% chance if they were as correlated as 2018.
Open on XNew @CookPolitical: Dems inch closer to Senate majority as three races move in their favor. #KSSEN: Lean R to Toss Up #NHSEN: Toss Up to Lean D #NCSEN: Lean D to Likely D Full analysis by @JessicaTaylor: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XSenate political environment as of this morning: 9.1 point swing from 2024, implied national environment D+7.5. Steady as she goes here. A GOP turn hasn't happened. But Dems have also not gained this month.
Open on XModel update after Times/Siena: Dems at 63% to win the Senate, and 89% to win the House. GA: 🟦 95% NC: 🟦 95% NH: 🟦 89% MI: 🟦 79% MN: 🟦 79% TX: 🟦 73% OH: 🟦 67% AK: 🟦 67% ---TIPPING POINT--- ME: 🟦 59% IA: 🟥 51% KS: 🟥 68% NE: 🟥 79% SC: 🟥 79% https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/split-ticket-2026-midterms-model
Open on XThe NYT dropped 5 major Senate polls this morning — and they’re a window into why the GOP is freaking out about the Senate. Alaska: Peltola up 50/43 Texas: Talarico up 51/45 Ohio: Brown up 49/46 Kansas: a 45/45 tie Iowa: Hinson up 48/47.
Open on XFox News releases two new polls. —Iowa: Josh Turek (D) up 49/47 for Senate. —Texas: James Talarico (D) up 51/49 for Senate. That's among likely voters. Striking (and against CW?), Dems lead by more among registered voters: Talarico +7, Turek +4.
Open on XNEW INFOGRAPHIC: Historic Senate polling error 33 days out in Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio. 93% of polls overstated the Democrat D+6.2 average miss 33 days out D+6.6 average miss 33 days out in midterms
Open on XIf the Democratic Party has above 52 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).