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PHASE 1
Ken Paxton
37%
James Talarico
64%
Los Angeles D
34%
Milwaukee
34%
Republican Party
39%
Democratic Party
62%
Cleveland
12%
Tampa Bay
22%
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US Senate · KXDSENATESEATS · Resolves Feb 1, 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Showing: Above 52
· Resolves Feb 1, 2027
Above 52 · 36% chance
▲ 1
Updated 3 min ago
Feeds 2h ago · AI summary 3h ago
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Overview
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Forecast
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
40%
30%
20%
Sep 13
Oct 7
Oct 11
Stats
Volume
$1.3M
24h volume
$3.8K
Open interest
$762.1K
Days left
113
Bid / ask
35¢ / 36¢
Last
36¢
Outcomes
Outcome
Chance
24h
Price
Above 52
36%
▲ 1
Yes 36¢
No 64¢
52
17%
▼ 1
Yes 17¢
No 83¢
50
13%
▲ 1
Yes 13¢
No 87¢
51
13%
▼ 1
Yes 13¢
No 87¢
49
8%
0
Yes 8¢
No 92¢
48
7%
▲ 1
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
47
4%
0
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
Below 45
3%
0
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
45
2%
0
Yes 2¢
No 98¢
46
2%
0
Yes 2¢
No 98¢
Why it moved
AI
Cook Political Report moved three Senate races toward Democrats (@CookPolitical)
DDHQ forecast shows Democrats favored to flip Senate with 51-seat projection (DDHQ 10/9)
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race (Politico; Decision Desk HQ)
North Carolina shifting Democratic amid latest Senate polls (The Hill; NYT)
Generated from news and X posts below · 3h ago