| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.25% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 3.50% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 3.00% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 2.75% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 3.75% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 4.00% | 17% | 0 | Yes 17¢ No 83¢ |
| Above 4.75% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 4.50% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 4.25% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 5.00% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 5.25% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.
No headlines yet. Feeds pull Google News RSS and GDELT (NewsAPI is optional).
No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Oct 28, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.