α
✦
US House · KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN · Resolves Feb 1, 2028

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?

Showing: Republicans win · Resolves Feb 1, 2028
Republicans win · 6% chance0Updated 1 min ago
Feeds 2h ago · AI summary 6h ago

Forecast

11%7%2%
Sep 13Oct 8Oct 12

Stats

Volume$832.7K
24h volume$8.5K
Open interest$593.0K
Days left387
Bid / ask5¢ / 6¢
Last6¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Democrats, 8 to 10%27%▲ 1Yes 27¢ No 73¢
Democrats, 6 to 8%20%0Yes 20¢ No 80¢
Democrats, 10 to 12%20%▲ 1Yes 20¢ No 80¢
Democrats, 4 to 6%11%▲ 1Yes 11¢ No 89¢
Democrats, 12 to 14%9%0Yes 9¢ No 91¢
Republicans win6%0Yes 6¢ No 94¢

AI Predictions

Loading…

Why it moved AI

  • Reuters: US House races to watch in the 2026 elections
  • Iowa Capital Dispatch: California U.S. Rep. Ro Khanna rallies with Iowa Democrats ahead of midterms
Generated from news and X posts below · 6h ago