α
✦
US House · KXHOUSERACE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the NY-01 House?

Showing: Chris Gallant · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Chris Gallant · 14% chance0Updated 4 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

21%17%12%
Oct 6Oct 9Oct 13

Stats

Volume$168.8K
24h volume$135
Open interest$133.6K
Days left387
Bid / ask13¢ / 14¢
Last14¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Nick LaLota87%▲ 1Yes 87¢ No 13¢
Chris Gallant14%0Yes 14¢ No 86¢

AI Predictions

Loading…

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

The Hill House · 6h
Johnson: Video of Hasan execution could be 'recruiting tool for future terrorists'

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said the Pentagon’s plan to livestream the execution of former Army Maj. Nidal Malik Hasan could be used by terrorist groups to recruit more people, joining a growing list of Republicans who have expressed reservations about broadcasting it publicly. “There are colleagues that have concerns,” Johnson said in an interview...

The Hill House · 11h
Johnson planning to remain GOP leader in 'unlikely scenario' Republicans lose House

Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said he plans to remain as the leader of the Republican conference in the “unlikely scenario” that the GOP loses control of the House. “I want to be of my highest and best use to God in my country, and I feel like at this stage of life, I'm doing what...

City & State New York · Jun 12
2026 NY-01 Congressional Election

Polls, Candidates & Odds

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.