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Tech & AI · KXLLM1 · Resolves Jan 31, 2027

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Showing: Gemini · Resolves Jan 31, 2027

Gemini · 39% chance▼ 1Updated 4 min ago

Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 7h ago

Trade on Kalshi ☆ Follow

Overview News X Feed AI Summary Rules Related Markets

Forecast

6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

50%26%1%

Sep 13Oct 8Oct 12

Stats

Volume$2.5M

24h volume$19.7K

Open interest$1.2M

Days left80

Bid / ask39¢ / 39¢

Last39¢

Outcomes

Outcome	Chance	24h	Price
Claude	42%	▼ 2	Yes 42¢ No 58¢
Gemini	39%	▼ 1	Yes 39¢ No 61¢
ChatGPT	12%	▲ 1	Yes 12¢ No 88¢
Grok	4%	0	Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Muse Spark	3%	▲ 1	Yes 3¢ No 97¢

AI Predictions

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Why it moved AI

Tubefilter: Comscore data shows ChatGPT LLM share shrinking as Gemini advances
YouGov: ChatGPT leads U.S. AI brands 2026 but Gemini gains momentum
Search Engine Land: Direct Gemini vs ChatGPT chatbot comparison for 2026
tech-insider.org: 2026 ranking of top AI chatbots including Claude and Gemini

Generated from news and X posts below · 7h ago

News

CNET · 5d

Best Fiber ISPs for 2026: Ranked by Speed, Transparency, Stability and Value

Semrush · Sep 28

10 SEO best practices for Google and AI search

Techzine Global · Sep 25

Google Gemini 4 is coming later this year with something to prove

Groupe BNP Paribas · Sep 24

BNP Paribas and Google Cloud Announce New Partnership on Agentic AI and Cloud Innovation

BNP Paribas and Google Cloud Announce New Partnership o

Tubefilter · Sep 22

Comscore says ChatGPT’s LLM market share is shrinking as Google Gemini advances

Search Engine Land · Sep 21

Google Gemini vs ChatGPT: Which AI chatbot is better in 2026?

CyberSecurityNews · Sep 17

Top 10 Best Google Cloud (GCP) Security Tools in 2026

Top 10 Best Google Cloud (GCP) Security Tools i

WIRED · Aug 27

We’ve Tried Every Pixel Phone Ever Made—Here Are the Best to Buy Right Now

https://tech-insider.org/ · Aug 19

Best AI Chatbots 2026: ChatGPT vs Claude vs Gemini

YouGov · Aug 6

U.S. AI brand rankings 2026: ChatGPT leads, but Gemini shows momentum

eMarketer · Jul 27

Google’s rankings prioritize quality, suggesting AI origins aren’t highly important

Axios · Jul 23

Google's Gemini delay exposes a deeper problem: employee frustration

Ars Technica · Jul 21

Google announces Gemini 3.6 Flash and cybersecurity AI, teases 3.5 Pro and Gemini 4

Google announces Gemini 3.6 Flash and cybersecurity AI, teases 3.5 P

How-To Geek · Jul 8

The 5 best Google Pixel phones of all time, ranked

blog.google · Jun 22

Interactions API: our primary interface for Gemini models and agents

TechCrunch · Feb 19

Google’s new Gemini Pro model has record benchmark scores — again

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.