| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 57% | 0 | Yes 57¢ No 43¢ |
| China | 31% | 0 | Yes 31¢ No 69¢ |
| India | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| European Space Agency | 0% | 0 | Yes 0¢ No 100¢ |
| Russia | 1% | ▲ 1 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
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Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti
<img width="1024" height="768" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?w=200
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgJBVV95cUxPa2c5Y1dkeElWZU9IcHlQN0lxS2tLWFM3SEx0d0wtdHdTQjAyTmhLYy1Ka0l0Sy16eWxoak1aWEY5SGw0ZnZORVpZejhxS1d5UHJlVGNaQnl6ODMzRWprZ0J3bzhDT19icmEwUE9pS1pTV09QQXRRWGlxZGswTXVaTjV6cVNpeUlNMWJSN19IdW40YVpCNmRaYk84M2RMdVNBSWJtRGFMTlotejh1RlFkbXB2Q1lSM21KeVNyc0hVMnhPckh2MVFfNVRscE9BbFFrUEtxM2h1RXkxWjNpNVF1TWRHUlMtZGM3ajduUUJ3Zm1XaFpFUkFjMXduVGxIVHpzNlBOMm
The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s
The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).
The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="
The Only Nation Other Than the
Artemis II: The first human mission to the moon in 5
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If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.