| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 57% | 0 | Yes 57¢ No 43¢ |
| China | 31% | 0 | Yes 31¢ No 69¢ |
| India | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Russia | 1% | ▲ 1 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| European Space Agency | 0% | 0 | Yes 0¢ No 100¢ |
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Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC).
The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday.
The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).
The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).
The Only Nation Other Than the
Artemis II: The first human mission to the moon in 5
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If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.