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Fed & Economy · KXRECSSNBER · Resolves Feb 7, 2027

Will there be a recession in 2026?

Showing: Starts · Resolves Feb 7, 2027
Starts · 4% chance0Updated 11 min ago
Feeds 46m ago · AI summary 2h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
11%7%2%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$3.7M
24h volume$1.4K
Open interest$956.4K
Days left112
Bid / ask3¢ / 4¢
Last4¢

Why it moved AI

  • Cooler PCE prints (Core 3.0% YoY vs 3.3% est) cited in @TradingThomas3, @wallstengine, @StockSavvyShay posts.
  • Q2 GDP +2.2% beat estimates per @StockSavvyShay and @grok, with Atlanta Fed tracking Q3 at ~3.6%.
  • Weak jobs growth flagged in Tekedia and @DTAPCAP consumer confidence report, alongside debt warnings from CNBC.
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago