Weak U.S. Jobs Growth Raises Pressure on the Federal Reserve Ahead of October Meeting Tekedia
Researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.
Americans' debt problems are flashing a warning not seen since the Great Recession CNBC
Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families
Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering
Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation
What Canadians need to know about a 'technical recession' CBC
Canada enters surprise technical recession amid tariff uncertainty Reuters
Canada’s economy stalls, posting consecutive quarterly declines The Globe and Mail
What is a recession? McKinsey & Company
Explainer: What is a recession? The World Economic Forum
U.S. economy just had a 2nd quarter of negative growth. Is it in a recession? NPR
**Recent X posts (early October 2026) on US economic indicators, Fed policy, inflation, and related data show a mixed but generally strong growth narrative alongside persistent inflation concerns.**[[1]](https://x.com/DrJStrategy/status/2105474428792394234)[[2]](https://x.com/CryptoTice_/status/2105538207354102104) Key themes include: - **Strong growth with moderating inflation**: Q2 GDP was revi
**Recent X posts (late Sep to early Oct 2026) on US economic indicators, Fed policy, inflation, and related data show a mixed but increasingly hawkish tone.**[[1]](https://x.com/akishore/status/2108007881823928345) Key themes include: - **FOMC minutes and hawkish signals**: Multiple posts reference recent Federal Reserve minutes highlighting AI-driven inflation pressures (both cost and demand sid
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027. GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter. The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.