| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 11, 2026 | 94% | ▲ 1 | Yes 94¢ No 6¢ |
| Before Nov 27, 2026 | 84% | ▲ 1 | Yes 84¢ No 16¢ |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | 31% | ▼ 12 | Yes 31¢ No 69¢ |
| Before Oct 30, 2026 | 2% | 0 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.
Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti
'Things
<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAJBVV95cUxNSXl6VktGMGc3Q1NfbUVZYjFIc1ZkYmp5R3Y2VkhRODNUd1hfdmxnNGVXeVg4TTdxTmNLUEpXWDFYMnhSUldBYXg1OUVxeXBnN29JVEYzUm03RDdSaVVndE5GRmYwdk0xUHpselFONzNweTIyUmFBVXd1UjA3Y2I2SkVLWTNjaHVYdHk0WVE3a2QyUU1aUmt1ZkU3ZkZlMUMwdnNJUHk0NzlGRElvOXp5UWhpOGhmOHR4Z0llTTZ3NWhmNUNBNFpZOEN1dmo4Sk1JVFRkeG9BQlNrZUpQV0tKSzJJV0lSNEp3MnEyeVh3cGtBeERPRG1VVER0aV9GZFJ1?oc=5"
The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s
The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).
Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=
The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxPc2RkMkI4ZlBkTUhDYWZkZVBWa0M1c2JVZ2NMS1FuMkhqa3RjSERxMi1XWXNLUkNJZTNJaUMzZ2hJbWtGV19ES1RJazJ2YlVLTGpGQnpEcFFPaENXeUdyUVZZUlJkT1hJUWVISjhHQW5wb0JueUR3QjJoS3dXS3lBeUktQTAzLWN6TGd6VjVIem9EZ1IwekdLaUtHNFJtNHhkclHSAacBQVVfeXFMTy1yTXk1Qk0wcEZ2QnhELWJQOVZtaEZFUHozUFd6TnNqNjFmNTVaNW1qRk41Yi1GeW8tZXhXMnlhZjVUQWFsSzJPZEVvNUtONjQxVTlsRkItbUI3aHVtVU
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If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX