| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 11, 2026 | 94% | โฒ 1 | Yes 94ยข No 6ยข |
| Before Nov 27, 2026 | 83% | 0 | Yes 83ยข No 17ยข |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | 30% | โผ 13 | Yes 30ยข No 70ยข |
| Before Oct 30, 2026 | 2% | 0 | Yes 2ยข No 98ยข |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 1% | 0 | Yes 1ยข No 99ยข |
No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin โ Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.
No headlines yet. Feeds pull Google News RSS and GDELT (NewsAPI is optional).
No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX