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Space · KXSPACEXSTARSHIP · Resolves Nov 6, 2026

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

Showing: Before Oct 30, 2026 · Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Before Oct 30, 2026 · 3% chance▲ 1Updated 5 min ago
Feeds 47m ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

65%33%0%Sep 30Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$26.2K
24h volume$1.3K
Open interest$13.0K
Days left19
Bid / ask1¢ / 4¢
Last4¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Before Dec 11, 202694%▲ 1Yes 94¢ No 6¢
Before Nov 27, 202683%0Yes 83¢ No 17¢
Before Nov 13, 202631%▼ 12Yes 31¢ No 69¢
Before Oct 30, 20263%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Before Oct 16, 20261%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

Spaceflight Now · 2d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 5d
Deposition Sciences, Inc. Expands Sunshade® Tape Offering with New 12″ × 30″ Format

Santa Rosa, CA — October 2026 — Deposition Sciences, Inc. (DSI), a leader in advanced thin film coatings, proudly announces the introduction of a new 12″ × 30″ format for […] The post Deposition Sciences, Inc. Expands Sunshade® Tape Offering with New 12″

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/

Florida Today · 6d
SpaceX Starship reaching orbit, NASA's Crew-13 launch top space newsletter

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAJBVV95cUxNSXl6VktGMGc3Q1NfbUVZYjFIc1ZkYmp5R3Y2VkhRODNUd1hfdmxnNGVXeVg4TTdxTmNLUEpXWDFYMnhSUldBYXg1OUVxeXBnN29JVEYzUm03RDdSaVVndE5GRmYwdk0xUHpselFONzNweTIyUmFBVXd1UjA3Y2I2SkVLWTNjaHVYdHk0WVE3a2QyUU1aUmt1ZkU3ZkZlMUMwdnNJUHk0NzlGRElvOXp5UWhpOGhmOHR4Z0llTTZ3NWhmNUNBNFpZOEN1dmo4Sk1JVFRkeG9BQlNrZUpQV0tKSzJJV0lSNEp3MnEyeVh3cGtBeERPRG1VVER0aV9GZFJ1?oc=5"

Spaceflight Now · 7d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="

CNBC · 13d
SpaceX launches its massive Starship rocket into orbit for the first time

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxPc2RkMkI4ZlBkTUhDYWZkZVBWa0M1c2JVZ2NMS1FuMkhqa3RjSERxMi1XWXNLUkNJZTNJaUMzZ2hJbWtGV19ES1RJazJ2YlVLTGpGQnpEcFFPaENXeUdyUVZZUlJkT1hJUWVISjhHQW5wb0JueUR3QjJoS3dXS3lBeUktQTAzLWN6TGd6VjVIem9EZ1IwekdLaUtHNFJtNHhkclHSAacBQVVfeXFMTy1yTXk1Qk0wcEZ2QnhELWJQOVZtaEZFUHozUFd6TnNqNjFmNTVaNW1qRk41Yi1GeW8tZXhXMnlhZjVUQWFsSzJPZEVvNUtONjQxVTlsRkItbUI3aHVtVU

X Feed

SP
@SpaceX · 1d

Falcon 9 launches the @SemperCitiusSDA's fourth Tranche 1 data transport mission to low-Earth orbit

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NA
@NASASpaceflight · 1d

LAUNCH! Falcon 9 B1103-6 launches the Tranche 1 Transport Layer A Mission from SLC-4E, Vandenberg.

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SP
@SpaceX · 1d

Falcon 9’s first stage lands on LZ-4

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SP
@SpaceX · 1d

Watch Falcon 9 launch the @SemperCitiusSDA’s fourth Tranche 1 data transport mission to low-Earth orbit https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1jGXgBoBYkRKZ

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SP
@SpaceX · 1d

Less than one hour until Falcon 9’s launch of the @SemperCitiusSDA's fourth Tranche 1 mission from California. Weather is 80% favorable for liftoff, and propellant load will begin shortly → https://www.spacex.com/launches/sda-t1tl-a

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NA
@NASASpaceflight · 2d

The latest with Starship, as Ship 40 returns home and Ship 42 heads out for more testing. By Ryan Weber (@rweb11742) https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/10/ship-40-returns-ship-42-more-testing/

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NA
@NASASpaceflight · 2d

Starship Update with Max Evans (@_MaxQ_) ➡️https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPqDD39cBEw

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Rules

If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX