α
✦
Elections · KXTRUMPMENTION · Resolves Oct 26, 2026

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown?

Showing: Transgender · Resolves Oct 26, 2026
Transgender · 100% chance▲ 100Updated 1 min ago
Feeds 19m ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

100%97%93%
Oct 12Oct 13

Stats

Volume$22.2K
24h volume$22.2K
Open interest$21.2K
Days left14
Bid / ask99¢ / 100¢
Last99¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
America First100%▲ 100Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Acton100%▲ 100Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Barack Hussein Obama100%▲ 100Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Transgender100%▲ 100Yes 100¢ No 0¢
China / Chinese100%▲ 100Yes 100¢ No 0¢

AI Predictions

Loading…

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

Rules

If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.