| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson | 58% | ▲ 1 | Yes 58¢ No 42¢ |
| Josh Turek | 43% | ▼ 1 | Yes 43¢ No 57¢ |
A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...
Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
‘Prairie populist’ Josh Tur
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
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Fact-checking Ashley Hinson and Josh Turek in first Iowa US Senat
Hinson, Turek spar on immigration, ethi
GOP Rep. Ashley Hinso
The New Yo
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Where Hinson, Turek, Laeh
The Data Dive: Steve Kornacki on whether Democrats can loos
Democrats aim to flip Iowa's U.S. Senate seat in an increasingl
IOWA POLL - Senate 🟦 Josh Turek: 48% (+7) 🟥 Ashley Hinson: 44% (-1) (Was Hinson +4 in August) Suffolk (A) | 10/1-4 | LV
Open on XNew @CookPolitical: Dems inch closer to Senate majority as three races move in their favor. #KSSEN: Lean R to Toss Up #NHSEN: Toss Up to Lean D #NCSEN: Lean D to Likely D Full analysis by @JessicaTaylor: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XSenate political environment as of this morning: 9.1 point swing from 2024, implied national environment D+7.5. Steady as she goes here. A GOP turn hasn't happened. But Dems have also not gained this month.
Open on XHoly shit, the favorability ratings: Talarico 47/38 (indies 57/30) Paxton 39/51 (indies 27/68) Turek 44/34 Hinson 41/45 Brown 46/41 (indies 47/36) Husted 37/47 (indies:35/50) Peltola 50/42 (indies 68/28) Sullivan 42/53 (indies 24/73) Hamilton 39/27 Marshall 40/45
Open on XThe NYT dropped 5 major Senate polls this morning — and they’re a window into why the GOP is freaking out about the Senate. Alaska: Peltola up 50/43 Texas: Talarico up 51/45 Ohio: Brown up 49/46 Kansas: a 45/45 tie Iowa: Hinson up 48/47.
Open on X🚨Iowa U.S. Senate Poll🚨 🔵 Josh Turek - 47% 🔴 Ashley Hinson - 43% Rasmussen (🔴) 1,048 Likely Voters 9/28-9/30 (🔴 denotes GOP pollster)
Open on XFox News releases two new polls. —Iowa: Josh Turek (D) up 49/47 for Senate. —Texas: James Talarico (D) up 51/49 for Senate. That's among likely voters. Striking (and against CW?), Dems lead by more among registered voters: Talarico +7, Turek +4.
Open on XIf a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.