| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Marshall | 63% | ▼ 1 | Yes 63¢ No 37¢ |
| Adam Hamilton | 39% | ▲ 1 | Yes 39¢ No 61¢ |
A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...
Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
Why former Republican governors are backing a Democrat for Senate in a
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The DDHQ Forecast still gives Marshall about a 2 in 3 chance of reelection. Why Kansas is on the board, plus the generic ballot and control of Congress: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/polls-senate-kansas-marshall-hamilton-2026-midterms-house-forecast-congress
Open on XTrump won Kansas by 16 points in 2024. Democrats haven't won a Senate race there since 1932. But Democrat Adam Hamilton runs a hair ahead of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in DDHQ's new Kansas polling average. #KSSen
Open on X.@CookPolitical moved the Kansas' Senate race to Toss Up on Tuesday, calling it “Democrats’ Cinderella story of the cycle.” Traders aren’t there yet. Sen. Roger Marshall (R) is at 65¢ to hold the seat. Adam Hamilton (D) is up to 38¢, from 34¢ last Thursday. #SenateControl
Open on XRead the full analysis from @JessicaTaylor and read about our three race rating changes. https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XYouGov has Adam Hamilton leading 48/45 in the Kansas Senate race in a new poll. Just as @CookPolitical moves the race to a toss-up.
Open on XNew @CookPolitical: Dems inch closer to Senate majority as three races move in their favor. #KSSEN: Lean R to Toss Up #NHSEN: Toss Up to Lean D #NCSEN: Lean D to Likely D Full analysis by @JessicaTaylor: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XToday, The Cook Political Report is moving three Senate races, all towards Democrats. • Kansas from Lean R -> Toss Up • North Carolina from Lean D -> Likely D • New Hampshire from Toss Up -> Lean D Read @JessicaTaylor's full analysis: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XInteresting paragraph on Kansas' NYT poll. (https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/03/upshot/polls-midterms-senate-times-siena.html Adam Hamilton is popular among those who know him, but he is by far least known of the Senate candidates in the 5 states polled. And GOP just started dumping millions against him; will he be able to counter?
Open on XKansas has 4 former, living GOP governors. Two have now endorsed Adam Hamilton, the Dem, for Senate. Mike Hayden just penned this oped in the Kansas City Star this morning, following Adam Graves doing the same last month.
Open on XIf a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.