| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Marshall | 63% | ▲ 1 | Yes 63¢ No 37¢ |
| Adam Hamilton | 38% | 0 | Yes 38¢ No 62¢ |
Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifkFVX3lxTE5GZEZDYTJUMjBMVmtmZVVMNVJ2a2NLZ3d1V3FUdVAwbWZxakJxT3l0YnBKLXVOYjBsaW91ZFZzU3N4eURqbmNNRE9KWXB1TFQwZ0p4V1cydzI2THBWZXQ1RHBmbjR4NXRxdFBtenFjMHpQcTFzSzBEb3QzX2NkQdIBfkFVX3lxTE1hNkY2NG01bnZDYm04TjJpSl8xeTFUYUdwQk5tNERnelFyUDNLV0xkakRxRjd5X3JTWFpMQU1XQzc5UU5tUUVkUndjNWlNQ0o3Ti1oZEZodFNGY0tPWU9aeWN1emdSTkRZcFk3VURpNDNVWXN2S202cENtc3hPQQ?oc=5" t
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
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Opinion: Kansas may surprise the nation and elect a Democrat to the US Senate. MAGA politics re
Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration's Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needs a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said Friday he supported the president’s decision, but he doesn’t “support his decision to import it from Putin. Vladimir Putin is a butcher. He's a butcher...
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
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Last week, The Cook Political Report moved three Senate races, all towards Democrats. Read about those changes from @JessicaTaylor: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XDDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
Open on XThe DDHQ Forecast still gives Marshall about a 2 in 3 chance of reelection. Why Kansas is on the board, plus the generic ballot and control of Congress: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/polls-senate-kansas-marshall-hamilton-2026-midterms-house-forecast-congress
Open on XTrump won Kansas by 16 points in 2024. Democrats haven't won a Senate race there since 1932. But Democrat Adam Hamilton runs a hair ahead of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in DDHQ's new Kansas polling average. #KSSen
Open on XThe Senate overall is broadly a toss-up, although things have been trending toward Democrats. You can find the South Carolina forecast on DDHQ's VOTES portal here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-11-03/south-carolina-us-senate-general-election/forecast
Open on XIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.