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US Senate · SENATEKS · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Kansas Senate?

Showing: Roger Marshall · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Roger Marshall · 63% chance▼ 1Updated just now
Feeds just now · AI summary 50m ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
83%72%60%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$1.3M
24h volume$11.7K
Open interest$969.9K
Days left388
Bid / ask62¢ / 63¢
Last63¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Roger Marshall63%▼ 1Yes 63¢ No 37¢
Adam Hamilton38%0Yes 38¢ No 62¢

Why it moved AI

  • DDHQ forecast gives Sen. Marshall ~2/3 chance of reelection, with Trump’s 16-pt 2024 margin and no Democratic Senate win since 1932 (@DecisionDeskHQ)
  • Cook Political Report shifted three Senate races toward Democrats last week (@CookPolitical)
  • Marshall settled 6-year-old campaign bakery bill; charged 18% on medical bills per Kansas City Star and NYT
  • Kansas Reflector opinion: MAGA politics could help elect a Democrat to Senate
Generated from news and X posts below · 50m ago