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US Senate · SENATETX · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Texas Senate?

Showing: Ken Paxton · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Ken Paxton · 39% chance▲ 1Updated 6 min ago
Feeds 3m ago · AI summary 2h ago

News

The Hill · 49m
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 5h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 7h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

PhillyBurbs · 12h
Who do latest polls show winning 2026 midterms? See odds, forecasts

Who do latest polls show win

Politico · 20h
Trump announces Katie Bailey as new chief of White House-Hill relations

The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.

Politico · 1d
Trump boosts a New York ally in a tough race

GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

Decision Desk HQ | Substack · 2d
📈 Could Democrats actually flip Kansas’s Senate seat?

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Forbes · 2d
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Jackson Leads In Maine, Hinson Ahead In Iowa (Updated Daily)

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-gFBVV95cUxQVEpVa2lyNnExT25LM0hjMmtqallxNXdDU25GZWZXWUg0WGd0Yi1WX1ctcG5FS0ZXQi1FSHRkMXNFVWktY3F0TjQ2YXRGY0tWdnBQeWZWVEVRUUc2QTd5T2NzbTdyWUpYZkUxV2h2Wk1kNERUZ1c0RUl0U2lFVU4yOXh6RVBicFdaeG5iWkJBQUJsNnpFT251Y3dScEg4TVBVa3JWdC1oNHNwSTFOVzdKak9iNmlDSmU2ZUJ0cFp1QjlNa2plR01PSG5uaVFGOE80SXZFM0plNjFPdGE4d1VDcVRNQ1ZXWDMtVkZSWXd5ZF8wbXJ3MDlMRDBB?oc=5" target=

PBS · 3d
5 House districts where Republicans are looking to turn the tables as Democrats eye big midterm wins

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAJBVV95cUxOcEhPWllLeUpIak14UmV3SEhRcElEdTNTNkh1Z2x0a1BqM0U5NHFMYThBODFsaUFCY2NPTWM4M0tNNkRSc3JKM1p6WXFwSU1tSXNwQ2M1WnQ0dG50UTNadkR1aGxSWDZvcXRoUk1rbGxJRUp2S3NqMU9CSWY3Y2ROb1h5QTVDbWlxOWlJbVJlSk9SejF4bHdnbk1oTGhHTWZmNTg1SXVtdmRaczQ3Ml82bWpvZmNxT0JOZmxzQVppZU9QdWk1R2F1Z29rS0ptTTRaQktoUmpRNmFPTE03dHNCblBhang2ZTlMM2ZjdTlLVU9OZG9kNWxBOTRTMzNDdldG0gGGAk

Forbes · 3d
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Republican Leads In Iowa, Democrat Ahead In Ohio Senate Races (Updated Daily)

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-gFBVV95cUxOdHV3emJ6YkVQd2F1Zk5xNklrTjZJTVp6SlMxS2p1UkE3bWl1dHRnUUdyVVNBZS1RMVBySGxDYmlNeEVIRnFJYU5BaVQxaTFoemtlSC1xSGItR2t5Q0tFUEdrUzB4SUVWcHR4R2V5TWZ3YXZ0SDFpYlBubldEWE9hWmlmelZQbkxmb0dKazdsNElYWDhRVVBodUZneWdiT2JHak1MdE1hUk9CU0twdmhWdnBXbmpmWmsyZDJMbDdSUVV1cUhmSTF2b3ZRUkxhbFV0TW82SGdWWElKZWROTzBjRFJUMlJLOXI2TnY4U0N1LVFWc25SWGJBZVNR?oc=5" target=

X Feed

AP
@AdImpact_Pol · 2d

Republicans lead in future ad reservations in 7 of the 8 Senate races @CookPolitical rates as Toss Up or Lean. #IASen is the exception. #OHSen: 🔴$56.0M 🔵$43.1M #TXSen: 🔴$51.5M 🔵$4.9M #IASen: 🔵$28.9M 🔴$25.4M #MESen: 🔴$25.5M 🔵$22.7M #MISen: 🔴$31.0M 🔵$17.0M #NHSen: 🔴$12.0M 🔵$11.6M #AKSen: 🔴$10.4M 🔵$10.1M #KSSen: 🔴$12.8M 🔵$4.5M

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 2d

DDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 5d

DDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Texas Senate 🟦 James Talarico: 56% 🟥 Ken Paxton: 44% Talarico has expanded his lead to 2.7 points in the DDHQ polling average. If Democrats flip Texas, their chance of controlling the Senate is 76%.

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 10d

James Talarico remains the favorite in Texas's Senate race. The DDHQ Forecast gives him a 55% chance of defeating Republican Ken Paxton, and he leads by 2.4% in our polling average. Democrats have not won a statewide race in Texas since 1994.

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CO
@CookPolitical · 10d

We have moved these two governors races from Likely Republican to Lean Republican: • Texas: Gina Hinojosa (D) vs. Greg Abbott (R) • Florida: David Jolly (D) vs. Byron Donalds (R)

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 13d

In the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.

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