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Ken Paxton 40%James Talarico 61%Los Angeles D 43%Republican Party 40%Milwaukee 26%Democratic Party 61%Cleveland 11%Tampa Bay 22%
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US Senate · SENATETX · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Texas Senate?

Showing: Ken Paxton · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Ken Paxton · 40% chance▲ 2Updated just now
Feeds 10m ago · AI summary 41m ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
54%42%29%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$15.4M
24h volume$1.0M
Open interest$10.9M
Days left388
Bid / ask39¢ / 40¢
Last40¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
James Talarico61%▼ 2Yes 61¢ No 39¢
Ken Paxton40%▲ 2Yes 40¢ No 60¢

Why it moved AI

  • Recent X posts (Oct 8-11) highlight tight 2026 Senate battlegrounds with heavy Texas focus and mixed GOP control forecasts (@user).
  • No Texas-specific developments in provided news on Kansas, Ohio, or other races.
Generated from news and X posts below · 41m ago