| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico | 61% | ▼ 1 | Yes 61¢ No 39¢ |
| Ken Paxton | 40% | ▲ 2 | Yes 40¢ No 60¢ |
The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
Who do latest polls show win
The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.
GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
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Republicans lead in future ad reservations in 7 of the 8 Senate races @CookPolitical rates as Toss Up or Lean. #IASen is the exception. #OHSen: 🔴$56.0M 🔵$43.1M #TXSen: 🔴$51.5M 🔵$4.9M #IASen: 🔵$28.9M 🔴$25.4M #MESen: 🔴$25.5M 🔵$22.7M #MISen: 🔴$31.0M 🔵$17.0M #NHSen: 🔴$12.0M 🔵$11.6M #AKSen: 🔴$10.4M 🔵$10.1M #KSSen: 🔴$12.8M 🔵$4.5M
Open on XDDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Texas Senate 🟦 James Talarico: 56% 🟥 Ken Paxton: 44% Talarico has expanded his lead to 2.7 points in the DDHQ polling average. If Democrats flip Texas, their chance of controlling the Senate is 76%.
Open on XJames Talarico remains the favorite in Texas's Senate race. The DDHQ Forecast gives him a 55% chance of defeating Republican Ken Paxton, and he leads by 2.4% in our polling average. Democrats have not won a statewide race in Texas since 1994.
Open on XWe have moved these two governors races from Likely Republican to Lean Republican: • Texas: Gina Hinojosa (D) vs. Greg Abbott (R) • Florida: David Jolly (D) vs. Byron Donalds (R)
Open on XIn the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.
Open on XIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.