| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 61% | 0 | Yes 61¢ No 39¢ |
| Republican Party | 40% | 0 | Yes 40¢ No 60¢ |
The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswam
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Rel
The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.
Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needed a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said on Friday he supported the president’s decision but he doesn’t “suppo
Democratic lawmakers pushed back Friday on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian oil amid global fuel shortages during U.S. military operations against Iran and the Russia-Ukraine war. The deal will permit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s government to supply
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
Last week, The Cook Political Report moved three Senate races, all towards Democrats. Read about those changes from @JessicaTaylor: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two
Open on XDDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
Open on XTrump won Kansas by 16 points in 2024. Democrats haven't won a Senate race there since 1932. But Democrat Adam Hamilton runs a hair ahead of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in DDHQ's new Kansas polling average. #KSSen
Open on XThe Senate overall is broadly a toss-up, although things have been trending toward Democrats. You can find the South Carolina forecast on DDHQ's VOTES portal here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-11-03/south-carolina-us-senate-general-election/forecast
Open on XSouth Carolina is unexpectedly part of the larger Senate playing field. In DDHQ's forecast, Sen. Darline Graham (R) has a 7 in 10 chance of winning, making her a favorite to hold the seat for the GOP. But Democrat Annie Andrews has a shot at scoring an upset.
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Democrats now have just above a 1 in 2 chance of winning both the House and the Senate — but are far clearer favorites in the House. @ChrisCillizza walked through it with @geoffreyvs & Maddisen Murrell ⬇️
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Nebraska Senate Our Nebraska Senate polling average is live! Republican Pete Ricketts currently leads independent Dan Osborn by 0.9 points. The DDHQ Forecast gives Ricketts an 80% chance of winning.
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Iowa Senate 🟦 Josh Turek: 51% 🟥 Ashley Hinson: 49% Democrat Josh Turek is now favored to win and leads by 2.3 points in the DDHQ polling average. Democrats need to flip four seats to win a majority.
Open on XIf the Republican Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.