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Ken Paxton 40%James Talarico 61%Los Angeles D 43%Republican Party 40%Milwaukee 26%Democratic Party 61%Cleveland 11%Tampa Bay 22%
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US Senate · CONTROLS · Resolves Feb 1, 2027

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Showing: Republican Party · Resolves Feb 1, 2027
Republican Party · 40% chance0Updated 5 min ago
Feeds 10m ago · AI summary 34m ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
54%44%34%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$7.7M
24h volume$106.9K
Open interest$4.9M
Days left113
Bid / ask39¢ / 40¢
Last40¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Democratic Party61%0Yes 61¢ No 39¢
Republican Party40%0Yes 40¢ No 60¢

Why it moved AI

  • Cook Political Report moved three Senate races toward Democrats (@CookPolitical).
  • DDHQ forecast gives Democrats 56% chance to flip Senate, with trends favoring them (@DecisionDeskHQ).
  • Democrats invest $5M in Kansas Senate race (Politico).
  • DDHQ shows tight Iowa and Nebraska Senate polls (@DecisionDeskHQ).
Generated from news and X posts below · 34m ago