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Fed & Economy · KXCPI · Resolves Jan 13, 2027

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in September 2026?

Showing: Above 0.1% · Resolves Jan 13, 2027
Above 0.1% · 100% chance▲ 1Updated 1 min ago
Feeds 1m ago · AI summary 41m ago

Forecast

100%94%88%Sep 12Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$15.9K
24h volume$33
Open interest$3.6K
Days left3
Bid / ask99¢ / 100¢
Last99¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 0.0%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above -0.1%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above -0.2%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 0.2%99%0Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 0.1%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above -0.3%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above -0.4%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 0.3%98%▲ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 0.4%92%▲ 1Yes 92¢ No 8¢
Above 0.5%60%▲ 1Yes 60¢ No 40¢
Above 0.6%14%▼ 3Yes 14¢ No 86¢
Above 0.7%2%▲ 1Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 0.9%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 0.8%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Fed minutes from the Sept 15-16 2026 meeting addressed the monetary policy outlook beyond the current decision. (@NickTimiraos, federalreserve)
  • NY Fed's September 2026 Survey of Consumer Expectations showed higher short- and medium-term inflation expectations. (@NewYorkFed)
  • Core PCE rose +0.25% in August, annualizing to 3%, while the three-month reading reached 2%. (@NickTimiraos)
  • RBC described September CPI as the start of a broader inflation trend. (RBC)
Generated from news and X posts below · 41m ago