| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.3% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above -0.1% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 0.1% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 0.2% | 99% | 0 | Yes 99¢ No 1¢ |
| Above -0.4% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above -0.2% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 0.0% | 100% | ▲ 1 | Yes 100¢ No 0¢ |
| Above 0.3% | 98% | ▲ 1 | Yes 98¢ No 2¢ |
| Above 0.4% | 90% | ▼ 2 | Yes 90¢ No 10¢ |
| Above 0.5% | 59% | ▼ 5 | Yes 59¢ No 41¢ |
| Above 0.6% | 14% | ▼ 6 | Yes 14¢ No 86¢ |
| Above 0.7% | 2% | 0 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 0.8% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 0.9% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
The Week Ahead: US September CPI and
Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.
The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.
Tokyo core inflation rate jumps in September, bolsters case for more BOJ
No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.6% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (October 14, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.