| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.0% | 97% | 0 | Yes 97¢ No 3¢ |
| Above 0.1% | 79% | 0 | Yes 79¢ No 21¢ |
| Above 0.2% | 37% | ▲ 1 | Yes 37¢ No 63¢ |
| Above 0.3% | 8% | 0 | Yes 8¢ No 92¢ |
| Above 0.8% | 1% | ▼ 1 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 1.0% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 0.9% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 0.7% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 0.4% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 0.5% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 0.6% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxNVUlRVno2bmpjLWRiYnV1M2VxVDZPTGVWa0I4Wk9tY0JHajgxaWcyeUpDbDI5THZKQVBhcEx6WFo1RmszaEh0R19zNU85cXFmOVlxNjB5QWRvNTJncnFZUndDUTVXWXg1Rk5DQTRPREF4OV9DQjRsMVYxV3QxOTY3cnBpWXhFM2lLSVFMMNIBkgFBVV95cUxOVmZJaUpQd0wwYXJrSmp0eVlGbjV6eWhkNGxtZEd1aTlWb2x1cjNNa09ZSnFyMzlpUzRuMV95VW9oQjBXVUlranJLelhyYmVPLTB4UTBqbDZTQ2YtREtSMnVCV1hRbWE3cFJOLU53UkJYeG9OX0
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqgFBVV95cUxPdHh1T0lSb21sUWVFcGMyN3JIOWpwclZjczFfb05LNk9qRHV5NWlKaXVMZnJPOGJvMTNqbkNTbV9NWlZvQWZQRkJyVFdpbzBSYXR5REFmeEtQTnFiQ2NJc1VNaDNYRDE4OUZJQ2NiZUlLWWF2MFY5LTdMY1YtV3ZPZFlhYkd1YW5rSmpFRy01T0g3Ym83M2ROdkpzLUl0T2l0ZXZqUVZ5Vmt5QdIBugFBVV95cUxONWhGWGk0Y2VWaFluZS1xNWF2bnJpWWVld3paRGxYNGE5Smw5ZDNuNWxST2gxcDQ2THBETC1SZWQ5bWRYeW9kSzdTOXVROWZpbFVlWFBycU
CPI Report: Annual Inflation Rate Co
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNaEtqM192dEM1a3ZqOFBnbXdyNzczN0Z2dGlsaVBpeE85ZXVyT2NUMURIYm1aeXdMeFFOblhxUmdTWWdvZkd5c0JVbHhSRkIwRkw2NXN5V2NKbGM0OFJsSlpNN0tDVGtWWjJULWFVdk5aTnhNRWVMeVZmV2txMTNHOWdjdjh3VHJ6VFF2blBLYmtqUjEzdTdxR0EyckI1VHZaV3ZSZVJfdTPSAbgBQVVfeXFMT3RnbmloV3Y5eXVtUFZyN1kwV0k2bUJicUlNMC1BZDZPNVZnTzZaMkg0QmxsYl9mNnBaM3hfUmw5Qy1qRjgtLTZUM3FXRzQ0NWZOZXJhSkdEd2
U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS AS INFLATION EXPECTATIONS RISE University of Michigan consumer sentiment fell to 46.3 in October, missing expectations of 47.8 and declining from 48.1 in September. The current conditions index plunged to 44.7, well below forecasts of 51.0. Meanwhile, 1-year inflation expectations rose to 4.7%, while 5-year expectations climbed to 3.5%, signaling persistent inflation concerns among consumers.
Open on XFED'S MUSALEM SAYS THE ECONOMY IS PRETTY STRONG RIGHT NOW AND THE BEST THING THE FED CAN DO IS LOWER INFLATION, ADDING THAT THE JOB MARKET IS OVERALL BALANCED AND STABLE WITH NO NEED TO COOL IT TO GET INFLATION DOWN, THOUGH THERE IS A RISK CONSUMER VIGOR COULD WANE AND CONTACTS ARE MOSTLY WORRIED ABOUT INFLATION RATHER THAN THE JOB MARKET.
Open on XFed’s Musalem: Current Inflation Level Requires Fed To Consider Rate Hikes - Rates ‘Ought To Be Going Up’ In Next 6-9 Months - Open Minded When Going Into All Meetings - Contacts Are Mostly Worried About Inflation, Doesn’t See Job Market Worries - Economy Is Pretty Strong Right Now
Open on XIf the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for September 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.