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Fed & Economy · KXCPICOREYOY · Resolves 10/21/2026

Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

49%0Updated 1 min agoKalshi Yes · Above 2.4%
Feeds 1m · summary 44m
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
64%43%21%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$127.4K
24h volume$10.1K
Open interest$75.9K
Days left3
Bid / ask48¢ / 50¢
Last49¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 2.2%97%▼ 1Yes 97¢ No 3¢
Above 2.1%98%▼ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 2.3%89%▲ 7Yes 89¢ No 11¢
Above 2.4%49%0Yes 49¢ No 51¢
Above 2.5%13%▲ 1Yes 13¢ No 87¢
Above 3.4%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.9%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.8%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.0%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.2%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.3%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.1%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.7%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 3.5%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 2.6%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • CNBC: Fed survey one-year inflation outlook hit the highest since May 2023.
  • CNBC: NY Fed says tariffs drove inflation on many everyday items.
  • RBC calls September CPI the tip of the iceberg; Kitco/Natixis expects an in-line print.
  • X posts describe a hawkish FOMC tilt amid mixed inflation signals.
Generated from news and X posts below · 44m ago