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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Dec 16, 2026

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 3.25% · Resolves Dec 16, 2026
Above 3.25% · 98% chance▼ 1Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 4h ago · AI summary 4h ago

Forecast

100%97%94%
Oct 6Oct 9Oct 11

Stats

Volume$14.0K
24h volume$0
Open interest$2.1K
Days left59
Bid / ask97¢ / 99¢
Last99¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.25%98%▼ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 3.50%99%0Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 2.75%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.00%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.75%98%0Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 4.00%82%▼ 6Yes 82¢ No 18¢
Above 4.25%17%▼ 2Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.50%4%▼ 2Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 5.00%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • - FOMC minutes from Sep 15-16, 2026 released (Federal Reserve)
  • - Fed Survey of Consumer Finances published (Federal Reserve)
  • - No FOMC speakers, CPI/PCE or jobs data in news
Generated from news and X posts below · 4h ago

News

CNBC Economy · 2d
Americans' debt problems are flashing a warning not seen since the Great Recession

Researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.

24/7 Wall St. · Sep 25
Private Credit Payouts Shrank All Year. The Fed’s First Hike Since 2023 Changes the Math

Private Credit Payouts Shrank All Year. The Fed’

Robinhood · Sep 18
September 15, 2027: Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting Economics Prediction Market

September 15, 2027: Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting Economics Prediction Marke

National Education Association | NEA · Jun 26
Upward Bound Programs Facing Uncertainty, Despite Proven Success

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.