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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves 12/16/2026

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

4%▼ 2Updated 44 min agoKalshi Yes · Above 4.50%
Feeds 1h · summary never

Forecast

13%7%0%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$163.5K
24h volume$10
Open interest$158.8K
Days left60
Bid / ask3¢ / 5¢
Last5¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.50%99%0Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.25%98%▼ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 2.75%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.00%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.75%98%0Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 4.00%83%▲ 2Yes 83¢ No 17¢
Above 4.25%17%▼ 2Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.50%4%▼ 2Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 4.75%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.00%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

CNBC Economy · 1d
Americans' debt problems are flashing a warning not seen since the Great Recession

Researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.

Federal Reserve · 2d
Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families

Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families

Federal Reserve · 2d
Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering

Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering

Federal Reserve · 3d
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026

Federal Reserve · 5d
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation

Federal Reserve · 8d
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation

24/7 Wall St. · Sep 25
Private Credit Payouts Shrank All Year. The Fed’s First Hike Since 2023 Changes the Math - 24/7 Wall St.

Private Credit Payouts Shrank All Year. The Fed’s First Hike Since 2023 Changes the Math  24/7 Wall St.

Robinhood · Sep 18
September 15, 2027: Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting Economics Prediction Market - Robinhood

September 15, 2027: Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting Economics Prediction Market  Robinhood

CryptoSlate · Jun 12
Fed Decision in June Final Result & Prediction Market - CryptoSlate

Fed Decision in June Final Result & Prediction Market  CryptoSlate

Digital Journal · May 21
Upper Bound speakers urge Canada to hold on to its AI advantage - Digital Journal

Upper Bound speakers urge Canada to hold on to its AI advantage  Digital Journal

Reason Magazine · Dec 10
Federal Reserve Defers to Donald Trump by Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Points - Reason Magazine

Federal Reserve Defers to Donald Trump by Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Points  Reason Magazine

National Education Association | NEA · Jun 26
Upward Bound Programs Facing Uncertainty, Despite Proven Success - National Education Association | NEA

Upward Bound Programs Facing Uncertainty, Despite Proven Success  National Education Association | NEA

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.