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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Dec 16, 2026

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 4.50% · Resolves Dec 16, 2026
Above 4.50% · 4% chance▼ 2Updated 3 min ago
Feeds 38m ago · AI summary 38m ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
13%7%0%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$163.5K
24h volume$10
Open interest$158.8K
Days left59
Bid / ask3¢ / 5¢
Last5¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.25%98%▼ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 3.50%99%0Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 2.75%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.75%98%0Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 3.00%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 4.00%83%▲ 2Yes 83¢ No 17¢
Above 4.25%17%▼ 2Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.50%4%▼ 2Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 4.75%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.00%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • NY Fed SCE: 1y inflation expectations at 3.9% (+0.3), highest since May 2023 (@doubledragonhq, CNBC Economy)
  • Cleveland Fed nowcast: September core CPI +0.2% m/m (@ctxdesk)
  • FOMC minutes from September 15-16, 2026 released (Federal Reserve)
Generated from news and X posts below · 38m ago