| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.25% | 98% | ▼ 1 | Yes 98¢ No 2¢ |
| Above 3.50% | 99% | 0 | Yes 99¢ No 1¢ |
| Above 2.75% | 99% | ▲ 1 | Yes 99¢ No 1¢ |
| Above 3.75% | 98% | 0 | Yes 98¢ No 2¢ |
| Above 3.00% | 99% | ▲ 1 | Yes 99¢ No 1¢ |
| Above 4.00% | 83% | ▲ 2 | Yes 83¢ No 17¢ |
| Above 4.25% | 17% | ▼ 2 | Yes 17¢ No 83¢ |
| Above 4.50% | 4% | ▼ 2 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 4.75% | 1% | ▼ 1 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 5.00% | 1% | ▼ 1 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 5.25% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
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Researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.
Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families
Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering
Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation
Private Credit Payouts Shrank All Year. The Fed’s First Hike Since 2023 Changes the Math 24/7 Wall St.
September 15, 2027: Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting Economics Prediction Market Robinhood
Fed Decision in June Final Result & Prediction Market CryptoSlate
Upper Bound speakers urge Canada to hold on to its AI advantage Digital Journal
Federal Reserve Defers to Donald Trump by Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Points Reason Magazine
Upward Bound Programs Facing Uncertainty, Despite Proven Success National Education Association | NEA
**Recent X posts (late September to early October 2026) show the Fed in a hawkish stance amid persistent inflation concerns.**[[1]](https://x.com/NickTimiraos/status/2105712563061137879) Key themes from English-language posts referencing official or expert accounts (@federalreserve, @NickTimiraos, @CMEFedWatch, etc.): - **FOMC minutes and recent hike**: The September meeting saw a unanimous 25 b
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.