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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Dec 16, 2026

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 4.25% · Resolves Dec 16, 2026
Above 4.25% · 17% chance▼ 2Updated 3 min ago
Feeds 45m ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

60%34%7%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$45.8K
24h volume$0
Open interest$26.1K
Days left59
Bid / ask16¢ / 17¢
Last19¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.25%98%▼ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 3.50%99%0Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.00%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 2.75%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.75%98%0Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 4.00%82%▼ 6Yes 82¢ No 18¢
Above 4.25%17%▼ 2Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.50%4%▼ 2Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 5.00%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

CNBC Economy · 2d
Treasury's Bessent hires Trump's controversial former Fed board pick, Judy Shelton, as advisor

Shelton's controversial economic ideas led the Senate to block her nomination to the Fed. Now she's going to be a counselor to the Treasury secretary.

24/7 Wall St. · Sep 25
Private Credit Payouts Shrank All Year. The Fed’s First Hike Since 2023 Changes the Math

Private Credit Payouts Shrank All Year. The Fed’

Robinhood · Sep 18
September 15, 2027: Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting Economics Prediction Market

September 15, 2027: Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting Economics Prediction Marke

National Education Association | NEA · Jun 26
Upward Bound Programs Facing Uncertainty, Despite Proven Success

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X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.