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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Dec 16, 2026

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 4.75% · Resolves Dec 16, 2026
Above 4.75% · 1% chance▼ 1Updated 2 min ago
Feeds just now · AI summary 2h ago

Forecast

5%3%0%Sep 12Sep 22Oct 9

Stats

Volume$1.8K
24h volume$0
Open interest$1.4K
Days left59
Bid / ask0¢ / 2¢
Last2¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.50%99%0Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.25%98%▼ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 2.75%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.75%98%0Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 3.00%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 4.00%83%▼ 5Yes 83¢ No 17¢
Above 4.25%17%▼ 2Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.50%5%▼ 1Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 5.00%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Fed minutes: most participants assessed another increase in the federal funds target range (@NickTimiraos)
  • Fed Vice Chair Jefferson signals officials may want more time before raising rates, echoing NY Fed's Williams (@NickTimiraos)
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago