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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 3.50% · Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Above 3.50% · 100% chance▲ 1Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 1m ago · AI summary 41m ago

Forecast

100%98%95%Sep 12Sep 27Oct 10

Stats

Volume$14.2K
24h volume$0
Open interest$8.3K
Days left17
Bid / ask99¢ / 100¢
Last99¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.00%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.25%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.50%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 2.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 4.00%17%▼ 1Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.50%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.00%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Fed minutes: most participants assessed outlook for policy beyond current meeting (@NickTimiraos)
  • Williams: “There is no need for urgency” on October rate hike (@NickTimiraos)
  • PCE report does not much change the trend in price pressures (@NickTimiraos)
  • Ho-hum labor market report doesn't change story for Fed (@NickTimiraos)
Generated from news and X posts below · 41m ago