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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 4.25% · Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Above 4.25% · 1% chance0Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 1m ago · AI summary 41m ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
6%3%0%Sep 12Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$40.4K
24h volume$94
Open interest$37.8K
Days left17
Bid / ask0¢ / 1¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.00%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.25%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.50%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 2.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 4.00%17%▼ 1Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.50%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.00%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Fed minutes from Sept 15-16, 2026 posted (@federalreserve)
  • John Williams: “There is no need for urgency” on October hike (@NickTimiraos)
  • Philip Jefferson signals more time before raising rates; labor/PCE reports unchanged (@NickTimiraos)
Generated from news and X posts below · 41m ago