Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 4.50% · Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Above 4.50% · 1% chance0Updated 2 min ago

Feeds 1m ago · AI summary 41m ago

Volume$10.8K

24h volume$0

Open interest$9.1K

Days left17

Bid / ask0¢ / 1¢

Last1¢

Outcomes

Outcome	Chance	24h	Price
Above 3.75%	100%	▲ 1	Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.00%	100%	▲ 1	Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.25%	100%	▲ 1	Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.50%	100%	▲ 1	Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 2.75%	100%	▲ 1	Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 4.00%	17%	▼ 1	Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.25%	1%	0	Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.50%	1%	0	Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%	1%	0	Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.00%	1%	0	Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%	1%	0	Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Fed minutes: Most participants assessed another increase in the federal funds target range.
Waller: Anticipates additional hikes to support timely return of inflation to 2% goal.
NY Fed: Tariffs contributed 2.9 pp to goods price inflation by Feb 2026.
Logan: Fed likely needs at least another 50 bps in rate hikes.

Generated from news and X posts below · 41m ago