α
✦
Fed maintains rate 85%Starts 4%Hike 25bps 16%Exactly 0 cuts 95%Cuts 5%Exactly 1 cut 4%Cut 25bps 1%Exactly 2 cuts 1%
🏠 Home📝 Analysis📊 Markets🏆 Forecaster Leaderboard⭐ Alpha Picks💬 Community👁 My Watchlist🔎 Screener⚖️ Arbitrage Scanner🚀 Space🏦 Fed & EconomyAdmin
Fed & Economy · KXFEDDECISION · Resolves 1/27/2027

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

1%0Updated 3 min agoKalshi Yes · Cut 25bps
Feeds 1m · summary 1m
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
8%4%0%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$997.5K
24h volume$9.2K
Open interest$878.7K
Days left18
Bid / ask0¢ / 1¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Fed maintains rate85%0Yes 85¢ No 15¢
Hike 25bps16%0Yes 16¢ No 84¢
Cut >25bps1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Cut 25bps1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Hike >25bps1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • ABC cites September minutes: officials expect another hike this year, not a cut.
  • Posts describe a hawkish Fed after a unanimous Sept. 16 25bp hike.
  • NY Fed said tariffs drove inflation on many everyday items.
  • Business Times: policymakers lean against an October hike, with no cited case for a cut.
Generated from news and X posts below · 1m ago