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Fed maintains rate 85%Starts 4%Hike 25bps 16%Exactly 0 cuts 95%Cuts 5%Exactly 1 cut 4%Cut 25bps 1%Exactly 2 cuts 1%
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Fed & Economy Β· KXFEDDECISION Β· Resolves 1/27/2027

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

1%0Updated 1 min agoKalshi Yes Β· Cut 25bps
Feeds 44m Β· summary 43m
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Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves β€œHike 25 bps” to Yes and β€œHike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, β€œFed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.