α
✦
US House · KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN · Resolves Feb 1, 2028

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?

Showing: Democrats, 12 to 14% · Resolves Feb 1, 2028
Democrats, 12 to 14% · 9% chance0Updated 1 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

16%11%6%
Sep 13Oct 8Oct 12

Stats

Volume$149.8K
24h volume$1.2K
Open interest$116.3K
Days left387
Bid / ask9¢ / 9¢
Last9¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Democrats, 8 to 10%27%▲ 1Yes 27¢ No 73¢
Democrats, 6 to 8%20%0Yes 20¢ No 80¢
Democrats, 10 to 12%20%▲ 1Yes 20¢ No 80¢
Democrats, 4 to 6%11%▲ 1Yes 11¢ No 89¢
Democrats, 12 to 14%9%0Yes 9¢ No 91¢

AI Predictions

Loading…

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below