α
✦
US House · KXHOUSERACE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the FL-14 House?

Showing: Kathy Castor · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Kathy Castor · 67% chance0Updated 7 min ago
Feeds 2h ago · AI summary 5h ago

Forecast

Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$208.5K
24h volume$3.2K
Open interest$120.7K
Days left387
Bid / ask66¢ / 67¢
Last68¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Kathy Castor67%0Yes 67¢ No 33¢
Mike Beltran32%0Yes 32¢ No 68¢

AI Predictions

Loading…

Why it moved AI

  • Rep. Kathy Castor (D) and Mike Beltran debate FL-14 (WMNF, Florida Politics)
  • National Democrats stump with FL House candidates in battlegrounds (Florida Politics)
  • Elect Democratic Women PAC spent $1.4M backing House candidates (Legis1)
  • Fox News ratings shift 7 FL House contests toward Democrats (Florida Politics)
Generated from news and X posts below · 5h ago

News

The Hill House · 7h
Johnson: Video of Hasan execution could be 'recruiting tool for future terrorists'

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said the Pentagon’s plan to livestream the execution of former Army Maj. Nidal Malik Hasan could be used by terrorist groups to recruit more people, joining a growing list of Republicans who have expressed reservations about broadcasting it publicly. “There are colleagues that have concerns,” Johnson said in an interview...

The Hill House · 12h
Johnson planning to remain GOP leader in 'unlikely scenario' Republicans lose House

Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said he plans to remain as the leader of the Republican conference in the “unlikely scenario” that the GOP loses control of the House. “I want to be of my highest and best use to God in my country, and I feel like at this stage of life, I'm doing what...

Florida Politics · Sep 25
National Democrats to stump in Florida with House candidates in battleground seats

National Democrats to stump in Florida with House candidates

Florida Politics · Sep 23
Fox News ratings move 7 of Florida’s U.S. House contests in Democrats’ direction

Fox News ratings move 7 of Florida’s U.S. House contests in Democrats

Florida Politics · Sep 21
Kathy Castor agrees to 2 debates, Mike Beltran wants more

Florida Poli

Florida Phoenix · Aug 7
Hillsborough Republicans vie to try to defeat Kathy Castor after 20 years in Congress

Hillsborough Republicans vie to try to defeat Kathy Castor after

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the House member sworn in for FL-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.