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Before Jan 1, 2027 5%Ken Paxton 36%James Talarico 64%Los Angeles D 21%Milwaukee 44%Republican Party 39%Democratic Party 62%Cleveland 9%
US House · KXHOUSERACE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the FL-14 House?

Showing: Kathy Castor · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Kathy Castor · 67% chance0Updated 5 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 5h ago
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OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
71%66%61%
Sep 13Oct 9Oct 12

Stats

Volume$208.3K
24h volume$3.2K
Open interest$120.5K
Days left387
Bid / ask66¢ / 67¢
Last66¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Kathy Castor67%0Yes 67¢ No 33¢
Mike Beltran32%0Yes 32¢ No 68¢

AI Predictions

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Why it moved AI

  • Rep. Kathy Castor (D) and Mike Beltran debate FL-14 (WMNF, Florida Politics)
  • National Democrats stump with FL House candidates in battlegrounds (Florida Politics)
  • Elect Democratic Women PAC spent $1.4M backing House candidates (Legis1)
  • Fox News ratings shift 7 FL House contests toward Democrats (Florida Politics)
Generated from news and X posts below · 5h ago