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Fed & Economy · KXLARGECUT · Resolves 1/1/2027

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

3%0Updated 1 min agoKalshi Yes · In 2026
Feeds 1h · summary never

Forecast

8%4%0%Sep 12Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$662.3K
24h volume$525
Open interest$222.3K
Days left82
Bid / ask2¢ / 3¢
Last3¢

Why it moved AI

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Generated from news and X posts below

News

Al Jazeera · 1d
Trump launches probe into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook - Al Jazeera

Trump launches probe into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook  Al Jazeera

SCOTUSblog · 1d
Trump announces committee investigation of Fed Governor Lisa Cook - SCOTUSblog

Trump announces committee investigation of Fed Governor Lisa Cook  SCOTUSblog

Reuters · 1d
Fed says household income, wealth, debt stress increased from 2022 to 2025 - Reuters

Fed says household income, wealth, debt stress increased from 2022 to 2025  Reuters

Federal Reserve · 2d
Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families

Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families

CNBC Economy · 2d
Treasury's Bessent hires Trump's controversial former Fed board pick, Judy Shelton, as advisor

Shelton's controversial economic ideas led the Senate to block her nomination to the Fed. Now she's going to be a counselor to the Treasury secretary.

Federal Reserve · 2d
Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering

Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering

CNBC Economy · 2d
Inflation on many everyday items was entirely due to tariffs, NY Fed says

Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.

CNBC Economy · 3d
Inflation fears on the rise as one-year outlook in Fed survey hits highest level since May 2023

The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.

Yahoo Finance · 3d
Fed minutes: Another rate hike likely coming this year to combat persistent inflation - Yahoo Finance

Fed minutes: Another rate hike likely coming this year to combat persistent inflation  Yahoo Finance

Federal Reserve · 3d
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026

24/7 Wall St. · 4d
Trump Told the Fed to Cut Rates. It Raised Them - 24/7 Wall St.

Trump Told the Fed to Cut Rates. It Raised Them  24/7 Wall St.

Federal Reserve · 5d
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation

Federal Reserve · 8d
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation

Chase Bank · 13d
What makes the Federal Reserve decide to raise or lower interest rates? - Chase Bank

What makes the Federal Reserve decide to raise or lower interest rates?  Chase Bank

BBC · Sep 17
US interest rates raised for first time in three years - BBC

US interest rates raised for first time in three years  BBC

Peter G. Peterson Foundation · Sep 16
Fed Raises Rates for First Time Since 2023 as Interest Costs Top $1 Trillion - Peter G. Peterson Foundation

Fed Raises Rates for First Time Since 2023 as Interest Costs Top $1 Trillion  Peter G. Peterson Foundation

Federal Reserve (.gov) · Sep 16
The Fed - September 15-16, 2026 FOMC Meeting - Federal Reserve (.gov)

The Fed - September 15-16, 2026 FOMC Meeting  Federal Reserve (.gov)

PBS · Sep 15
WATCH: Warsh says 'inflation is too high' after Fed raises interest rate 1st time in 3 years - PBS

WATCH: Warsh says 'inflation is too high' after Fed raises interest rate 1st time in 3 years  PBS

ABC7 Los Angeles · Sep 15
Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark rate, defying Trump's demands - ABC7 Los Angeles

Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark rate, defying Trump's demands  ABC7 Los Angeles

X Feed

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Rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included. The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.