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Fed & Economy · KXLCPIMAXYOY · Resolves 2/28/2027

How high will inflation get this year?

17%0Updated 1 min agoKalshi Yes · At least 4.5%
Feeds 1m · summary 43m
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
33%25%16%Sep 12Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$365.4K
24h volume$1.4K
Open interest$158.6K
Days left126
Bid / ask16¢ / 17¢
Last16¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
At least 4.5%17%0Yes 17¢ No 83¢
At least 5.0%13%▲ 1Yes 13¢ No 87¢
At least 5.5%9%▼ 2Yes 9¢ No 91¢
At least 6.0%6%0Yes 6¢ No 94¢
At least 6.5%6%▲ 1Yes 6¢ No 94¢
At least 7.0%2%▼ 1Yes 2¢ No 98¢

Why it moved AI

  • RBC said September CPI is only the tip of the inflation iceberg.
  • CNBC: a NY Fed finding tied everyday-item inflation entirely to tariffs.
  • CNBC: the Fed survey’s one-year inflation outlook hit the highest since May 2023.
  • Sept. 15–16, 2026 FOMC minutes are out; this note does not forecast the next decision.
Generated from news and X posts below · 43m ago