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Before Jan 1, 2027 5%Ken Paxton 36%James Talarico 64%Los Angeles D 22%Milwaukee 45%Republican Party 39%Democratic Party 62%Cleveland 11%
Tech & AI · KXLLM1 · Resolves Jan 31, 2027

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Showing: Qwen · Resolves Jan 31, 2027
Qwen · 1% chance0Updated 3 min ago
Feeds 7h ago · AI summary 5h ago
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OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$1.0M
24h volume$642
Open interest$646.7K
Days left80
Bid / ask1¢ / 1¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Claude42%▼ 2Yes 42¢ No 58¢
Gemini39%0Yes 39¢ No 61¢
ChatGPT12%▲ 1Yes 12¢ No 88¢
Grok4%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Muse Spark3%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Qwen1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

AI Predictions

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Why it moved AI

  • VentureBeat: Alibaba's AI video model rises to No. 2 in global rankings, as OpenAI's Sora and ByteDance's Seedance fall away
  • Startup Fortune: Alibaba's voice AI cracks global top 5
Generated from news and X posts below · 5h ago

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If Alibaba has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.